Ongoing tariff threats and increases
Rising tariffs and threats of additional tariffs from American President Donald Trump have already caused economic uncertainty in Canada, and the construction industry is not immune.
As a key building material trade partner, the United States’ tariffs are anticipated to drive up material costs—most notably on steel and aluminum, automobiles, and construction equipment. The effects of the tariffs may lead to supply chain disruptions, higher-than-projected building costs, and project delays or cancellations.
Tariffs also increase the likelihood of contractual disputes between contractors and owners/developers as most contracts are fixed price and don’t account for anticipated fluctuations of this magnitude.
The great Canadian labour shortage
In what is now a continuing trend, the number of Canadians pursuing careers in construction continues to decline. When combined with an increased demand for housing, it has resulted in significant labour shortages. Contractors are now turning to out-of-province labourers to fulfill project requirements. This creates contractual risk if not factored into construction cost estimates.
In addition, many skilled construction roles require per-province certification, creating additional barriers to interprovincial work and trade. In light of U.S. tariffs, many Canadian provinces are acting quickly and working together to remove provincial barriers, which currently cost Canada up to $200 billion annually.
Interprovincial trade barriers: 6 key findings on business readiness
We surveyed business leaders across Canada to get their take on Canada’s interprovincial trade landscape.
Canadian political uncertainty and evolving regulatory policies
In the months leading up to the recent federal election, there was significant uncertainty surrounding anticipated regulatory changes to the construction industry. This resulted in a wait and see mentality with respect to anticipated and ongoing projects, extending contract timelines, and project costs.
As the newly elected government under Prime Minister Mark Carney lays out its priorities in the coming months, clarity regarding new housing and construction policies may alleviate industry uncertainty.
Approaches to ease contract management and risk pain points
There are multiple solutions that can be applied to mitigate the types of contract risk emerging in today’s market.
“We are seeing more and more requests to explore options to be a neutral watchdog, making sure that each party is holding up their end of the bargain. This not only keeps everyone accountable but also ensures the speed bumps that may impact the critical path can be dealt with proactively and keep the project on track,” says Sehgal. “The willingness I'm seeing across the board to meet in the middle from all corners of the construction industry is proof positive. And when that happens, everybody wins.”
How we can help
It’s essential to understand how evolving economic conditions impact your business. We help our clients develop contract and risk management solutions, including price remodelling, contract administration, project management and controls, claims management, and dispute avoidance.
Contact us to learn how we can help assess your project, identify hidden contract risks, create a going-forward negotiation plan, or navigate a lawsuit.
For more information, contact:
Chetan Sehgal, Partner, Head of Infrastructure
Sathish Kumar, Director, Construction Advisory and Disputes